Peter's Blog

CFTC CoTs Report: Managed Money has Lost Control of the Gold Market

Please note: the CoTs report was published 3/28/2025 for the period ending 3/25/2024. “Managed Money” and “Hedge Funds” are used interchangeably. The Commitment of Traders report is a weekly publication that shows the breakdown of ownership in the Futures market. For every contract, there is a long and a short, so the net positioning will […]

Doomsday Policy and Dirty Ticket Pricing

What can dubious pricing strategies of airlines in the 1990s teach us about the dynamics of the U.S. government? The Airline Tariff Publishing Company (ATPCO) allowed airlines to post their prices online long before the airlines actually had to commit to offering those prices to consumers. This was supposed to allow freedom of information on […]

Governments Sell Their Bitcoin and Buy Gold

Bitcoiners are hoping that the Trump administration will pump their bags to new all-time highs this year with a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve. But all around the world, governments are selling bitcoin and buying gold, not the other way around.

Is US Debt the Catalyst for an Economic Crisis?

As the stock market slumps and the economy shows signs of recession, the Trump administration is preparing for an economic detox. But just how did the economy get here? What drives the business cycle?

Blueprint for Dismantling the Fed

Austrian economists agree that the Fed drives both inflation and the business cycle and is accordingly responsible for the Great Recession and our current economy. Given the Fed’s current policy path and America’s political climate, what’s the best way to end the Fed?

 Liberty’s Strongest Defender

Whether it is industry or immigration, both parties emphasize the freedoms they protect, wishing to paint themselves as the true party of liberty. Their focuses are both quite different yet they rely on telling their base that the other party is coming for their most fundamental freedoms. This argument works because it plays upon one […]

Consumer Confidence Plunges as Recession Signs Multiply

U.S. consumer confidence suffered a sharp blow yesterday, plummeting 7.2 points to 92.9, according to the latest data from the Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index. Alarmingly, the Expectations Index, which measures consumers’ short-term outlook on the economy, tumbled to 65.2—its lowest level in 12 years—breaking well below the critical 80-point threshold that traditionally signals an […]

M2 Grows for a 16th Straight Month

Money Supply is a very important indicator. It helps show how tight or loose current monetary conditions are regardless of what the Fed is doing with interest rates. Even if the Fed is tight, if Money Supply is increasing, it has an inflationary effect.

Can Tariffs and DOGE Eliminate the Income Tax?

Freshly-confirmed U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick recently appeared on CBS News, declaring that President Trump aims to eliminate income taxes for Americans earning less than $150,000 per year. Lutnick touted Trump’s vision for tariffs to replace the revenue lost from this massive tax cut.

Schiff on Fox Business: Real Inflation isn’t Stopping

Last week Peter appeared on Fox Business with Liz Claman and co-panelist Scott Sperling to react to last week’s FOMC decision to hold rates steady. Peter, Liz, and Scott discuss Jerome Powell’s remarks from the decision, recent movement in gold and the equity market, and how economic growth may be able to offset some of […]